IPL playoff scenarios: With 15 matches to go, MI have 75% chance of progressing — odds for each team explained
Mumbai Indians captain Hardik Pandya with teammates. (PTI Photograph)

With 15 video games remaining within the IPL 2025 league stage, Chennai Tremendous Kings, Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad are already out of competition for the playoffs.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Punjab Kings and Gujarat Titans are virtually positive to make the knock-out stage and Mumbai Indians are additionally robust contenders, however Delhi Capitals nonetheless have a good probability and Lucknow Tremendous Giants and Kolkata Knight Riders slim probabilities.
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There stay 32,768 potential mixtures of outcomes, so nothing is for positive but for any of the seven remaining within the race.
Who’s that IPL participant?
We take a look at the possibilities:

Crew Finest case situation Worst case situation Probabilities (%) of creating or tying for prime 4 Probabilities (%) of creating or tying for prime 2
RCB Sole topper with 22 pts. Can occur in the event that they win remaining video games and GT lose no less than one Find yourself sixth. Can occur in the event that they lose all their remaining video games 97.9 78.6
GT Sole topper with 22 pts. Can occur in the event that they win their remaining video games and RCB lose a number of End seventh by dropping all remaining video games 87.2 54.5
PBKS Sole topper with 21 pts. Can occur in the event that they win remaining video games and each RCB and GT lose no less than one End seventh by dropping all remaining video games 90.1 46.0
MI Sole topper with 20 pts. Can occur in the event that they win remaining video games, RCB and GT lose two every and PBKS lose one End seventh by dropping all remaining video games 75.0 36.1
DC Sole topper with 20 pts. Can occur in the event that they win remaining video games, RCB and GT lose two every and PBKS and MI lose one every End eighth by dropping all of the remaining video games 55.1 15.2
KKR End tied for the highest spot with PBKS. Can occur in the event that they win remaining video games, RCB and GT lose two every, PBKS and MI lose one every End joint eighth by dropping all of the remaining video games 14.0 1.1
LSG End tied 2nd on 16 pts with RCB and both DC or GT. Can occur in the event that they win remaining video games, RCB lose all of theirs, and DC lose one or GT lose two End eighth by dropping all of the remaining video games 7.9 0.1

Ashutosh Sharma says DC aiming for 3 wins to seal playoffs spot

How we arrive on the chances: There are 32,768 potential mixtures of outcomes remaining with 15 video games to go. For every staff, we checked out what number of of those find yourself with them being among the many prime 4 both singly or tied. We additionally checked out what number of mixtures put every staff within the prime two both singly or collectively. As an illustration, RCB end within the prime 4 in 32,072 of the potential mixtures of match outcomes, translating to a 97.9% probability. In 25,768 of them they find yourself first or second, singly or collectively, translating to a 78.6% probability.



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